Mimicking a christmas led light, how would you start ?

Breaking my head on trying to mimic one of those christmas led’s. Did test’s like different materials / ior / ies lights…but just don’t seem to get it ? Starting to feel like a floating cork on open water, please someone… give me some guidance to the coast !!

What i did :
1. Finding out the real world setup of how a led is made.
2. Putting the IES light on different levels in my led ( to see the effect on various angles )
3. Making a reflection cap around my IES light and inside the led. Result was minimal, so left that out.
4. Making a second refraction layer to my epoxy material ( ior 1.438 + ior 1.627 ) Trying to make a sort of lens effect. This made some effect as expected. So left that in.

What am i missing, doing wrong ? How would you make it ?